This report updates the macroeconomic and insurance premium growth forecasts presented in the 2024 Economic and Industry Outlook report in light of the outlook for the second quarter of the year. In this sense, the base scenario for this update continues to be framed within a path of controlled deceleration by central banks, economic fundamentals that support the slow but sustained fall in inflation, and a risk map that merits both extra caution and the possible decoupling towards less coordinated movements. For insurance activity, in general, positive real growth in business volume is anticipated, beyond the inertial growth of insurance premiums due to inflation.
Insurance